There are not any perfect solutions for Syrians who want to return home, but it's time to simply accept that and find the simplest path forward.
The
German Christian Democratic Union party has proposed to deport criminal
Syrian asylum seekers back to areas in Syria under the protection of
Turkey. Currently, the German ministry
is evaluating the proposal. Regardless of any decision taken by the
German government, this proposal may be a reminder of evaluating the
potential for the return of Syrian refugees back to Syria.
The
general perception surrounding Syrian refugees is distorted. The
voluntary return of Syrians back to their own country is feasible and
necessary. Political pragmatism and therefore the will to seek out
cost-efficient solutions can open the way for many thousands, if not
millions, of Syrians who wish to measure in Syria.
Primarily, four
dynamics need to close to facilitate the voluntary return of Syrians
back to Syria; the willingness of refugees to travel back to Syria, the
willingness of local authorities to welcome them back, security,
adequate infrastructure and economic opportunities.
Looking at the
four main dynamics, it's certain that no refugee wants to travel back to
the regime-controlled areas of Syria. If they might , they might have already done so. Also, refugees do not want to go back to areas controlled by the PKK/YPG terror group.
Even
Syrian Kurds in northern Iraq like better to sleep in camps instead of
to return to northeast Syria. Lastly, Idlib is neither safe nor does the
presence of radicals inspire confidence in any refugee.
This leaves
us with the areas controlled by the Syrian Interim Government in
northern Syria, but thanks to the huge presence of IDPs, this area has
had a huge population growth of 229 percent and can't host more Syrians.
Therefore, the sole viable option is that the area liberated during
Operation Peace Spring.
The area had a coffee population density
before the war but amounts to a hefty 4,125 square kilometres. While the
Syrian side features a population of around 200,000 – the Turkish side
of the same strip features a population of quite 2 million.
Many
Syrians in Turkey are willing to travel back to Syria and therefore the
Syrian Interim Government and affiliated entities have repeatedly
expressed their willingness to simply accept them. Also, the return of
over 400,000 Syrians from Syria to the over-populated areas listed above
may be a strong indicator that the desire exists.
What remains is
the guarantee of safety. At the instant , this is often provided by the
Turkish soldiers . There seems to be no military power that might be
willing to challenge Turkish protection over this area. In the case of a
comprehensive approach to enable the return of Syrians back home,
foreign states can allocate a symbolic military presence to make sure
the security of civilians and to guarantee Turkey’s deployment.
Lastly,
while the world is large in terms of land, it doesn't have the
infrastructure necessary for such a venture. A joint economic
development program of nations
willing to facilitate the return of Syrian refugees could achieve that.
In reality, the aid would be but the economic, social and political
costs of Syrian refugees in Turkey and Europe.
Imaginary obstacle
The arguments against establishing safe-zones centre primarily around the notion of 'demographic change', mainly articulated by people with clear political motivations.
Before speaking of demographic change, one possesses to recollect
of the realities in and around Syria. Syria is estimated to possess a
population of 16.91 million inside Syria, 5.5 million refugees and
around a million asylum seekers in Europe.
In addition to quite 1 / 4
of the entire Syrian population outside of the country, 6.6 million
Syrians are internally displaced. Only 10 million out of 23 million
Syrians live in their actual homes. Demographic change in Syria has
already happened, unfortunately, and before the eyes of the earth .
Also,
ethnic demographic change has been happening across the country
consistently. Currently, more Turkmens from Homs live in northern Aleppo
as IDPs than Turkmens in Homs, Bedouin Arabs from the desert of Deir
Ezzor live within the Turkmen border town of Al Rai, townsmen from
Ghouta live within the mountains of Afrin, townsmen from the historic neighbourhood of Old Aleppo city are now living in tents in Idlib, etc.
Moreover,
towns in Turkey like Kilis became majority Arab as 81.31 percent of the
entire population, 1 / 4 of the Turkish province like Gaziantep, Hatay
and Sanliurfa are now Syrians.
Even neighbourhoods in German cities
like Berlin like Neukolln are more Arab than they were before. Accepting
refugees and asylum seekers is humanity's obligation and therefore the tragedy that's Syria has already occurred leading to dramatic changes and only sub-optimal solutions remain to bring Syrian refugees home.
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